🐨 Trade Signal Engine

Market Watch · Buy Low / Sell High

Where model conviction meets market momentum. Each player is scored by combining how much the Koalaty model disagrees with FantasyCalc consensus AND whether their recent value trajectory confirms the signal.

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Signals, in plain English

A buy or sell signal alone is just a snapshot. Pair it with momentum and you find out whether the window is opening or closing.

📈 Trend confirms
Model says “buy” AND value is rising — or model says “sell” AND value is falling. Conviction is amplified +50%; act before the window closes.
↔ Trend neutral
Model disagrees with market but value is flat. The signal stands on the disagreement alone — still actionable, just less time-sensitive.
⚠ Trend caution
Model says “buy” but value is falling — wait for the bottom. Or model says “sell” but value is rising — you may have time. Conviction is dampened.
Conviction score
|disagreement| × (1 + 0.5 × alignment). Higher means stronger signal. Sorted descending. Filter excludes below-replacement and trivially small disagreements.
Position
Synthesizing signals...